Verdict on Arizona ‘blue wave’ may rest on primary turnout - www.jewishaz.com: Special Sections

Special Section: Voter Guide Verdict on Arizona ‘blue wave’ may rest on primary turnout

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Posted: Wednesday, August 22, 2018 12:14 pm

National pundits have been talking about a “blue wave” in the midterm elections, meaning that the Democratic Party is expected to see gains in Congress. In most midterm elections (those held two years after a presidential election) since 1934, the president’s party loses seats in Congress. Hence the discussion of a blue wave this time around. Will Arizona, a traditionally red state, see a blue wave this cycle?

“Arizona is changing demographically,” says Kim Fridkin, a professor with Arizona State University’s School of Politics and Global Studies. “It’s not quite a purple state” – a state where the two major parties have a relatively equal shot at winning – “but it’s kind of moving in that direction.” In 2016, for instance, then-candidate Donald Trump outpolled his Democratic Party opponent, Hillary Clinton, by 3.5 percent or a little more than 91,000 out of 2.55 million votes cast here.

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